THE MILLEGAN MEMO: DECEMBER 2024
Brought to you by The Woodworth Contrarian Fund. Black Friday, an alternative measure of inflation, and Quinn calls in on Jim Cramer’s Lightning Round on his CNBC show Mad Money. Happy Holidays and Happy Friday the 13th.
THE MILLEGAN MEMO: NOVEMBER 2024
Tariffs, The Election, and whether or not you can be a better investor by knowing the future. We decided to do something a little bit different this month. We have a few bite sized pieces on interesting topics that caught our eye as we look forward. We call it the Millegan Memo.
“THE ECONOMY’S BAD, BUT I’M OK”, DATA SHOWS
In between conversations with interested festival attendees, we conducted a poll of 58 willing participants as to their current feelings on the economy, as well as their own personal investments. In exchange, participants received a free Woodworth-branded shot glass. From this poll, a familiar trend emerged.
CELTIC BREEZE GROWS, OREGON BREEZE BLOWS
In the spirit of our upcoming sponsorship of the local Scottish Heritage Festival here in McMinnville, Oregon, we find ourselves thinking of Scotland, and the ways in which our own home half a world away has many parallels. Catch us at the McMinnville Scottish Festival October 5th & 6th.
SURVEY RESULTS: WHERE DO YOU INVEST YOUR MONEY?
At the recent McMinnville Scottish Festival, at which the Woodworth Contrarian Fund was the title sponsor, we asked you where you invest your money.
OPINION: MCMINNVILLE GWENDOLYN HOTEL & THE MACK THEATER PROPOSALS
The proposed $60 million Gwendolyn Hotel in downtown McMinnville, which has asked permission to demolish three designated historic buildings within the Downtown National Historic District, has created a great deal of controversy.
NO GREATER FOOLS: CATHIE WOOD & THE ARKK FUND
Cathie Wood's ARKK fund, which as of writing was down nearly -50% YTD, has had a bad year. They are not the only major market player with performance issues.
IT'S TAKEOVER SEASON
Markets value certainty. Whether terrible or euphoric, more certain outcomes make planning, valuing future revenues, and controlling for future costs much easier, and by extension makes valuing companies as a whole much more straightforward (as much as it can be). The corporate temptation of whether or not to merge, takeover, or take private becomes a much harder to ignore when the answer is seemingly self-evident.
ALL THAT GLITTERS IS NOT GOLD, BUT IT MIGHT BE COPPER
One of the many overlooked components of a well-managed portfolio is original data - data which is often sanitized, re-analyzed, or downright omitted by the time it hits the news wires. Freeport-McMoran's recent call was particularly enlightening.
AMAZON SHOULD BE BROKEN UP: AN EVER-CLEARER PICTURE
The behemoth of a company that is Amazon is becoming is dangerously similar to gilded-age monopolies.
LETTER TO THE EDITOR: PUBLIC COMPANIES SHOULD NOT DO AWAY WITH QUARTERLY EARNINGS
Our two cents on quarterly earnings reporting made its way into Pamplin Media Group's Forest Grove News Times.
TRUMP & TRANSPARENCY: PUBLIC COMPANIES SHOULD NOT DO AWAY WITH QUARTERLY EARNINGS
In an early Friday morning tweet, President Trump took up advice from business leaders to look into removing required quarterly earnings reporting by public companies to the US Securities & Exchange Commission, in favor of a 6-month reporting timeline - similar to reporting done in European markets. This is misguided.